Great leaders choose prosperity over pride


Business Standard, 22 June 2025


Most of us have settled into a warm cynicism about governments. We expect the regime to act through a combination of pride and nationalism. So we think, of course the Iranian government will hit back, of course the Iranian government will try to rival Israel's military power, of course the regime will continue on the slog of trying to get to nuclear weapons.

By doing this, we sign on to the interests of the regime. There is a small matter of the interests of the people. The essential insight of political science and international relations is the distinction between the principal and the agent, the distinction between the interests of the people vs. the interests of the regime.

The pursuit of pride and nationalism by the Khamenei regime has brought disaster for the Iranian people. It does not have to be like this. The right strategy for Iran is to settle into 50 years of becoming a normal country, of getting away from state violence against the people, of building the society and the economy, of becoming a normal country that engages with the world in the normal ways of well behaved countries. That would build a great country, which is in the interests of the people.

Great leaders are those that rise above narrow considerations of face, of regime stability, of ideology, to do things that are in the interests of the people. There are many such examples in history:

These examples -- Nehru, Charles de Gaulle, F. W. de Klerk, Gorbachev, Sadat, Rabin, Deng Xiao Ping -- all show us great leaders who pursued the interests of the people and not the regime, who dialled down the pride in return for buiding a normal country, who created conditions of low violence and a chance of sustained economic growth for 50 years.

There are of course numerous failed leaders who emphasised pride and nationalism, who appealed to their base. Galtieri invaded the Falkland islands in 1982, trying to drum up domestic anti-colonial sentiment, which led to a collapse of the regime in 1983. Nasser was confrontationist on the scale of Khamenei, and lost the six day war in 1967. Mugabe led a (popular!) violent land reform program in Zimbabwe that gave a collapse of agricultural production and hyperinflation. Xi Jinping disrupted Deng Xiao Ping's `China model' with a return to resentment and hostility [EiE Ep16 The China model is broken] The gold medal for foolish pride goes to Vladimir Putin, who destroyed the possibility of Russia becoming a normal country, a European quality democracy, and a member of the EU and NATO.

Yes, such leaders exist, but we should not normalise such leadership qualities. When Nitin Pai says War is the continuation of domestic politics by other means, this is intended as criticism, not normalisation of toxic politics. We should not jump to the assumption that pride is the only force at work or that pride is the only legitimate lens through which the objectives of a regime should be anticipated. The essence of leadership lies in doing things that are good for the people as opposed to the regime.

The Khamenei regime may look at the situation in Iran from the viewpoint of pride, it may think the Iranian people must fight back and build a nuclear bomb. That is a terrible strategy for the Iranian people. There is no need for the Iranian state to sacrifice the peace and prosperity of the Iranian people, in return for the hope of nuclear bombs that give the regime a bigger swagger in world affairs. Iran faces zero threat from either Israel or the Sunni Arab states; it does not need nuclear weapons. All that is going on is the egotism of a small minority of Iran which happens to control the coercive power of the state. The important thing is not some male notions of pride or honour; the important thing is to create conditions of peace and prosperity, by turning Iran into a normal country.


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